Heterogeneous Innovations and Growth under Imperfect Technology Spillovers, with Seula Kim [Current Draft][Online Appendix][Slides]
(Previous Version: "Competition, Firm Innovation, and Growth under Imperfect Technology Spillovers" [SSRN])
- IZA Discussion Paper No. 17581
- CES Working Paper No. 24-20 (with previous title)
We study how frictions in learning others’ technology, termed "imperfect technology spillovers," impact firm innovation strategies and the aggregate economy through changes in innovation composition. We develop an endogenous growth model that generates strategic innovation decisions, where multi-product firms improve their products via own-innovation and enter new product markets through creative destruction under learning frictions. In our model, firms with technological advantages intensify own-innovation as learning frictions enable them to protect their markets from competitors, thereby reducing creative destruction of rivals. This pattern gets more pronounced when competitive pressure increases exogenously. Importantly, the shift in innovation composition reduces aggregate growth, as creative destruction contributes more to growth. Using U.S. administrative firm-level data, we provide regression results supporting the model predictions.
(Previous Version: "Defensive Innovation and Firm Growth in the U.S.: Impact of International Trade" [Paper] [Technical Appendix])
In this paper, I show that increasing foreign competition contributed to the recent decline in U.S. business dynamism by changing firms' innovation decisions. Using industry-level regressions with a generalized difference-in-difference identification strategy, I first show that rising competition from China substantially reduced young firm activities, startup rates, and employment growth of high-growth firms in the U.S. in the 2000s. I then develop a two-country model of firm innovation and show that increasing competitive pressure by foreign firms reduces high-growth firm activities and startup rates in the U.S. by inducing innovation-intensive and thus fast-growing firms to focus more on innovation for their product improvement (internal innovation) for defensive reasons. As these incumbents build technological barriers to better protect their markets, firms find it harder to enter others’ markets through innovation for business takeover (external innovation). As a result, the startup rate declines, and firms reduce investment in external innovation for entering new product markets. Since business takeover makes firms grow faster than they would through their own product improvement by requiring firms to hire a new set of workers to produce new products, this change in innovation patterns cuts the employment growth of innovation-intensive firms.
We study the life-cycle patterns of product-switching of multi-product firms and their aggregate implications. Using firm-product-level administrative data for the U.S. manufacturing sector, we estimate the match quality of firm-product pairs—a time-invariant, product-specific measure of firm performance—and show that young firms face greater challenges in identifying and retaining well-matched products. Young firms are more likely to keep poorly performing products while dropping better ones. Moreover, although young firms actively experiment by adding new products, often distant from their existing portfolio, many of these additions are misaligned with their expertise. These patterns suggest that young firms’ limited ability to find and retain the right products hampers their ability to climb the match-quality ladder and impedes performance improvements. To interpret these patterns, we develop a simple model of learning about product match quality over the firm life-cycle.
Mega Firms and New Technological Trajectories in the U.S. Innovation, with Serguey Braguinsky, Joonkyu Choi, Yuheng Ding, and Seula Kim [Current Draft]
(Previously circulated under the title "Mega Firms and Recent Trends in the U.S. Innovation: Empirical Evidence from the U.S. Patent Data")
- NBER Working Paper No. 31460
We provide evidence that mega firms have played an increasingly important role in shaping new technological trajectories in recent years. While the share of novel patents—patents introducing new combinations of technological components—produced by mega firms declined until around 2000, it has rebounded sharply since then and the share of novel patents in all patent applications in the U.S. also rebounded accordingly. Additionally, we find that the technological impact and knowledge diffusion from novel patents by mega firms have grown relative to those by non-mega firms after 2001. We also examine potential drivers of this trend, presenting evidence that the rise in novel patenting by mega firms is linked to their disproportionate increase in cash holdings and expansion of their technological scope.
Improving Patent Assignee-Firm Bridge with Web Search Results, CES Working Paper No. 22-31, with Yuheng Ding and Seula Kim [Paper]
This paper constructs a patent assignee-firm longitudinal bridge between U.S. patent assignees and firms using firm-level administrative data from the U.S. Census Bureau. We match granted patents applied between 1976 and 2016 to the U.S. firms recorded in the Longitudinal Business Database (LBD) in the Census Bureau. Building on existing algorithms in the literature, we first use the assignee name, address (state and city), and year information to link the two datasets. We then introduce a novel search-aided algorithm that significantly improves the matching results by 7% and 2.9% at the patent and the assignee level, respectively. Overall, we are able to match 88.2% and 80.1% of all U.S. patents and assignees respectively. We contribute to the existing literature by 1) improving the match rates and quality with the web search-aided algorithm, and 2) providing the longest and longitudinally consistent crosswalk between patent assignees and LBD firms.
Input Market Disruption and Firm Performance: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
Trade Induced Technological Change in the U.S.: The Rise of Software and Labor Substituting Technology
The Role of Digital Technology in Climate Technology Innovation, KDI Journal of Economic Policy, 2023
The Effect of Global Value Chain Disruption on the Economy (In Korean)